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Twitter Shows User Growth, Misses Estimates Amid Musk Takeover Dispute
Twitter Shows User Growth, Misses Estimates Amid Musk Takeover Dispute
The number of people using Twitter every day jumped in the second quarter as the social network negotiated a deal to sell itself to billionaire Elon Musk for $44 billion, but the company's revenue and profit took a hit.
In the quarter ending on June 30, roughly 237.8 million daily users who could see ads logged onto the site, a nearly 4% uptick compared to the previous quarter and up 16% from the year-ago quarter.
Despite the increase in traffic, Twitter said in its earnings report Friday that it lost 35 cents per share, worse than Wall Street's expected loss of 9 cents per share. Excluding certain expenses, Twitter lost 8 cents per share, missing the 14 cents per share expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters. Revenue was $1.18 billion, down 1% year over year, falling short of the $1.3 billion expected by analysts.
The lackluster performance comes as Twitter continues to battle Musk, who is trying to back out of his agreement to buy the company. Twitter sued the entrepreneur, who runs car company Tesla and rocket maker SpaceX, to complete the deal. A trial over the dispute is expected to happen in October over five days.
On Friday, Twitter attributed the revenue shortfall to "advertising industry headwinds" given the overall state of the global economy and "uncertainty" related to Musk's takeover bid. Costs related to the pending acquisition were approximately $33 million during the second quarter, the company said.
The company canceled the analyst call that is commonly held after the earnings report.
Like other tech companies, Twitter is bracing for a potential recession. The company laid off nearly 100 workers in July after freezing hiring.
Social media companies are also grappling with advertising slowdowns. Some marketers are pausing ad campaigns during the Russia-Ukraine war. Privacy changes at Apple have also made it tougher for advertisers to track the effectiveness of their campaigns.
Twitter's goal of reaching $7.5 billion of revenue and 315 million monetizable daily users in 2023 will likely be tougher to achieve during an economic downturn.
Twitter's stock was holding about even in early trading Friday after the company released its earnings.
Bear market how long will stocks fall and could it cosmetics bear market how long will stocks fall today bear market how long will stocks fall monday bear market how long will stocks fall again tomorrow bear market definition bear market etf bear market funds bear market consignment
Bear Market: How Long Will Stocks Fall and Could It Cause a Recession?
Bear Market: How Long Will Stocks Fall and Could It Cause a Recession?
What's happening
The S&P 500 has dropped more than 20% from its peak at the start of 2022, resulting in the first bear market since 2020.
Why it matters
A steep decline in a broad stock index suggests a sustained market downturn, seen by many investors as a sign of a possible looming recession.
The stock market took a big hit in June when the S&P 500, an index of 500 leading US publicly traded companies, fell to its lowest level since March 2021.
On June 13, the S&P 500 closed at 3,749.91 points, from a high of 4,818.62 on Jan. 4, representing a drop of 22%. Major players like Amazon, Apple and Meta all took hits to their market value.
As of June 23, the index sat at 3,795.73, still 21.2% below January.
The decline put stocks in bear market territory -- a sustained period of downward price trends -- for the first time since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. (In contrast, a bull market is when stock prices remain on an upward trajectory.)
We've had many bear markets in the past, but the current situation is attracting extra attention because of soaring inflation and other factors that have some experts worried about a recession.
Here's what you need to know about bear markets, including why they happen, how long this one could last and what it means for the economy.
What is a bear market?
When a broad stock market index experiences a 20% or more decline from recent highs for at least two months it's considered a bear market.
Since 1928, the S&P 500 has had 26 bear markets, according to Hartford Funds.
The S&P 500 Index has stayed more than 20% below its January 2022 peak, resulting in the first bear market in two years.
DNY59/Getty Images
The inverse of a bear market is a bull market, when there is a rise of 20% or more in a broad market index like the S&P 500 or Dow Jones Industrial Average over at least a two-month period.
There have also been 27 bull markets since 1928, according to Hartford Funds, averaging 991 days or 2.7 years.
How long does a bear market usually last?
It depends on which formula you use. According to investment analysis firm Seeking Alpha, the average duration of an S&P 500 bear market since the 1920s has been 289 days, or about nine and half months. (The shortest, in March 2020, during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US, lasted just one month.) On average, the S&P 500 declined about 36% during those bear periods.
But more recently, the 14 bear markets since World War II have averaged 359 days, or close to a year, according to Bespoke Investment Group.
Analyzing all the bear markets since World War II, Ben Carlson of Ritholtz Wealth Management found it took 12 months to go from "peak to trough," or from the end of a period of growth to hitting rock bottom.
That means the current bear market would bottom out at the beginning of 2023, a year after January's peak.
Does a bear market mean a recession is on the way?
A bear market can often, but not always, go hand in hand with a recession. In the 12 recessions since World War II, nine were accompanied by bear markets, Reuters reported.
But there have been 26 bear markets since 1928, and only 15 recessions.
Bear markets tied to a recession are usually longer (495 days compared to 198 days) and more severe (a 35% drop in the S&P 500 versus 28.2%), according to Bespoke Investment Group.
What causes a bear market?
Numerous factors can fuel a bear market. Ones relevant to our current situation include a weakened economy, and the ongoing invasion of Ukraine and its impact on the geopolitical landscape.
Chunks of the economy shutting down during the pandemic could also be a factor, as could the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates to curb inflation. After hiking them a quarter of a percentage point in March and a half point in May, the Fed raised interest rates by three-quarters of a point in June.
The average duration of an S&P 500 bear market since the 1920s is about nine and a half months.
ATU Images/Getty Images
Where does the phrase 'bear market' come from?
The terms "bear market" and "bull market" date to the early 1700s in London's Exchange Alley, a precursor to the modern-day London Stock Exchange, but there are several theories about their origins.
Traders who engaged in naked shorting -- or selling shares that haven't been affirmatively proven to exist -- were called "bear-skin jobbers," and later just "bears." The suggestion was they would sell a bear's hide before they even caught the animal.
Another explanation holds that the terms are related to how each animal attacks. A bear will swipe its claws downward, a metaphor for a downturn in the market. A bull will thrust its horns upward, suggesting an upward trend in the market.
And yet another theory is that a bear hibernates, similar to how a slumping market has gone to "sleep," Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at investment research firm CFRA, told the Associated Press. A surging stock market is a bull market, according to Stovall, because bulls charge at their victims.
The terms first saw print in the 1761 book Every Man His Own Broker, written by economist Thomas Mortimer.
